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Prediction · Worlds 2027
Who will win the World Darts Championship 2027?
We played the whole tournament 10,000 times – leg by leg, with seeding, draw and current form. These are every player's title chances.
After 10,000 simulated World Championships, Luke Littler is the clear favourite, winning the title in 41.3% of all runs. Next come Luke Humphries (15.8%) and Gerwyn Price (9%). Together the three reach 66.1% – so in roughly 34% of runs somebody else lifts the trophy.
Updated: 14 November 2026 · 10,000 simulations
Top 16: title chance in percent
Title chances of all players
| # | Player | Title | Final | Semi-final | Quarter-final | Last 16 | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Luke Littler | 41.3 % | 50.6 % | 60.4 % | 72 % | 85.3 % | 98 |
| 2 | Luke Humphries | 15.8 % | 32.2 % | 43.2 % | 59.4 % | 72.1 % | 93 |
| 3 |  Gerwyn Price | 9 % | 14.9 % | 35.6 % | 49.7 % | 64.5 % | 90 |
| 4 | Nathan Aspinall | 3.6 % | 7.1 % | 12.3 % | 36.3 % | 48.2 % | 86 |
| 5 |  Gian van Veen | 3.5 % | 10.1 % | 21.6 % | 36.3 % | 55.6 % | 88 |
| 6 | Michael van Gerwen | 2.9 % | 9 % | 19 % | 32.1 % | 51 % | 86 |
| 7 | Jonny Clayton | 2.8 % | 5.9 % | 18.4 % | 34.3 % | 51.5 % | 86 |
| 8 | Wessel Nijman | 2.5 % | 7.3 % | 13.3 % | 27.3 % | 42.8 % | 85 |
| 9 | Ross Smith | 2.4 % | 8.2 % | 14 % | 28.9 % | 50.9 % | 84 |
| 10 | James Wade | 2.3 % | 7.8 % | 18 % | 30.2 % | 50.5 % | 84 |
| 11 |  Gary Anderson | 2.1 % | 4 % | 7.3 % | 12.9 % | 45.7 % | 84 |
| 12 | Rob Cross | 1.7 % | 3.6 % | 6.8 % | 22.9 % | 33.7 % | 83 |
| 13 | Chris Dobey | 1.6 % | 5.6 % | 13.2 % | 23.8 % | 42 % | 83 |
| 14 | Kevin Doets | 1.1 % | 4.2 % | 8 % | 19.2 % | 33.9 % | 81 |
| 15 | Justin Hood | 0.9 % | 2.6 % | 7.2 % | 14.8 % | 28 % | 79 |
| 16 |  Josh Rock | 0.8 % | 1.8 % | 4.2 % | 18.7 % | 42.8 % | 83 |
| 17 | Luke Woodhouse | 0.7 % | 1.8 % | 3.6 % | 7.4 % | 31.8 % | 81 |
| 18 |  Damon Heta | 0.6 % | 1.5 % | 7.1 % | 17.2 % | 33.7 % | 80 |
| 19 | Danny Noppert | 0.5 % | 1.7 % | 7.8 % | 15.3 % | 36.4 % | 81 |
| 20 |  Krzysztof Ratajski | 0.5 % | 2.2 % | 6.4 % | 13.6 % | 27.8 % | 80 |
| 21 | Stephen Bunting | 0.5 % | 1.3 % | 7.2 % | 17.1 % | 33.9 % | 82 |
| 22 | Ryan Searle | 0.4 % | 2.6 % | 5.9 % | 12.5 % | 35.9 % | 81 |
| 23 |  Martin Schindler | 0.3 % | 1 % | 5.1 % | 11 % | 28.4 % | 79 |
| 24 | Beau Greaves | 0.2 % | 0.9 % | 2.6 % | 6.7 % | 15.1 % | 77 |
| 25 | Niels Zonneveld | 0.2 % | 0.7 % | 3.5 % | 9.2 % | 19.2 % | 78 |
| 26 | Jermaine Wattimena | 0.2 % | 1 % | 2.4 % | 6.7 % | 24 % | 78 |
| 27 |  Jeffrey de Graaf | 0.2 % | 0.6 % | 1.9 % | 5.8 % | 15.4 % | 76 |
| 28 | Dirk van Duijvenbode | 0.1 % | 1 % | 3.9 % | 9.3 % | 20.3 % | 79 |
| 29 |  Cristo Reyes | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 2.6 % | 7.4 % | 17.4 % | 77 |
| 30 | Charlie Manby | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 1.7 % | 4.8 % | 12.3 % | 76 |
| 31 | Gabriel Clemens | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 1.8 % | 5.6 % | 14.4 % | 76 |
| 32 |  William O’Connor | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 2.3 % | 5.7 % | 12.6 % | 76 |
| 33 | Callan Rydz | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 1.5 % | 4.6 % | 12.5 % | 76 |
| 34 | Daryl Gurney | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 1.3 % | 4 % | 8.9 % | 76 |
| 35 | Sebastian Białecki | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 1.9 % | 5.6 % | 14.5 % | 76 |
| 36 | Niko Springer | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 1.5 % | 5.1 % | 14 % | 76 |
| 37 | Michael Smith | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 1.3 % | 4.1 % | 11.4 % | 76 |
| 38 | Andrew Gilding | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 1.5 % | 5.2 % | 15.6 % | 76 |
| 39 | Alan Soutar | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 1.2 % | 4.5 % | 12.3 % | 74 |
| 40 |  Karel Sedláček | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 1.2 % | 4.1 % | 11.3 % | 74 |
Show all players
| # | Player | Title | Final | Semi-final | Quarter-final | Last 16 | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Connor Scutt | 0.1 % | 0.2 % | 0.9 % | 3.3 % | 10 % | 73 |
| 42 | James Hurrell | 0.1 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 2.5 % | 8.4 % | 72 |
| 43 |  Kim Huybrechts | 0 % | 0.4 % | 1.6 % | 5.2 % | 13.5 % | 76 |
| 44 | Scott Williams | 0 % | 0.3 % | 1.4 % | 5 % | 13.3 % | 75 |
| 45 | Joe Cullen | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.6 % | 2 % | 5.2 % | 77 |
| 46 |  Mensur Suljović | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.7 % | 2.7 % | 8.8 % | 73 |
| 47 | Keane Barry | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1.1 % | 4 % | 12.2 % | 75 |
| 48 | Richard Veenstra | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1 % | 3.6 % | 10.6 % | 73 |
| 49 | Mike De Decker | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 2.9 % | 9.1 % | 75 |
| 50 | Max Hopp | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 3 % | 10.2 % | 73 |
| 51 | Cameron Menzies | 0 % | 0.5 % | 2.1 % | 5.9 % | 16.2 % | 76 |
| 52 | Jimmy van Schie | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 2 % | 6.5 % | 72 |
| 53 | Mickey Mansell | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 2.8 % | 9.3 % | 72 |
| 54 | Dave Chisnall | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.8 % | 2.6 % | 8.5 % | 73 |
| 55 | Bradley Brooks | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 2.4 % | 8.5 % | 72 |
| 56 | Ritchie Edhouse | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 2.2 % | 7.8 % | 72 |
| 57 | Rob Owen | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 2.1 % | 7.6 % | 71 |
| 58 | Joe Hunt | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.9 % | 3.6 % | 70 |
| 59 | Henry Coates | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.8 % | 3 % | 70 |
| 60 | Archie Self | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 1.8 % | 67 |
| 61 |  Christian Perez | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 63 |
| 62 | Ryan Joyce | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 2.9 % | 13.1 % | 74 |
| 63 | Tom Sykes | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 2 % | 6.4 % | 70 |
| 64 | Adam Gawlas | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 1.1 % | 4 % | 71 |
| 65 | Raymond van Barneveld | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.2 % | 1 % | 4.4 % | 72 |
| 66 | Brendan Dolan | 0 % | 0 % | 0.3 % | 1.6 % | 6.3 % | 71 |
| 67 |  Darius Labanauskas | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.7 % | 3.2 % | 70 |
| 68 |  Madars Razma | 0 % | 0 % | 0.3 % | 1.5 % | 6 % | 72 |
| 69 | Ricardo Pietreczko | 0 % | 0 % | 0.3 % | 1.4 % | 6.1 % | 74 |
| 70 | Tommy Morris | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.9 % | 3.7 % | 70 |
| 71 | Tom Bissell | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1 % | 3.9 % | 71 |
| 72 | Christian Kist | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.9 % | 3.3 % | 70 |
| 73 | Maik Kuivenhoven | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.9 % | 3.7 % | 71 |
| 74 | Lukas Wenig | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1.2 % | 5.3 % | 70 |
| 75 | Alexander Merkx | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.8 % | 3.3 % | 70 |
| 76 | Owen Bates | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.9 % | 3.6 % | 70 |
| 77 | Ian White | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 3.4 % | 69 |
| 78 | Paul Krohne | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 2.8 % | 69 |
| 79 | Mario Vandenbogaerde | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.9 % | 4.6 % | 70 |
| 80 | Jamai van den Herik | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.8 % | 2.9 % | 69 |
| 81 | Cam Crabtree | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 2.7 % | 68 |
| 82 | Darryl Pilgrim | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 2.7 % | 69 |
| 83 | Daniel Klose | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 2.6 % | 69 |
| 84 | Raymond Smith | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 1.7 % | 66 |
| 85 | Carl Wilson | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.2 % | 1.5 % | 66 |
| 86 |  Adam Sevada | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 1.2 % | 65 |
| 87 |  Cor Dekker | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.8 % | 64 |
| 88 | Peter Wright | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 3.7 % | 74 |
| 89 | Jurjen van der Velde | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.8 % | 3.4 % | 70 |
| 90 |  Jim Long | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.5 % | 2.3 % | 68 |
| 91 | Jack Drayton | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1.7 % | 67 |
| 92 | Jan Schmidt | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.4 % | 1.5 % | 66 |
| 93 | Brody Klinge | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 61 |
| 94 |  Motomu Sakai | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1.4 % | 66 |
| 95 | Derek Coulson | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 64 |
| 96 |  Lok Yin Lee | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 62 |
| 97 | Paolo Nebrida | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1.4 % | 66 |
| 98 | Fallon Sherrock | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 1.2 % | 66 |
| 99 | Lisa Ashton | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 63 |
| 100 | David Cameron | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 63 |
| 101 |  Kam Weng Cheng | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 60 |
| 102 |  Rudie van Staden | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.5 % | 60 |
| 103 | Frederick Krueger | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.3 % | 60 |
| 104 | Mal Cuming | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.4 % | 60 |
| 105 | Daniel Larsson | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 63 |
| 106 | Stef Kosters | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.8 % | 64 |
| 107 | Ryūta Arihara | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 63 |
| 108 |  András Borbély | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.6 % | 63 |
| 109 | Dawid Herberg | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 62 |
| 110 | Brayden Hall | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 61 |
| 111 | Man Lok Leung | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 63 |
| 112 |  José Marquês | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 62 |
| 113 | Anton Östlund | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.7 % | 63 |
| 114 |  David Munyua | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 58 |
| 115 | Gemma Hayter | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.4 % | 61 |
| 116 | Haruki Muramatsu | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.5 % | 62 |
| 117 | Vicky Pruim | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.3 % | 59 |
| 118 | Gary Mawson | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 60 |
| 119 |  Wen Lihao | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.4 % | 61 |
| 120 |  Jesús Sálate | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 60 |
| 121 |  Ben Robb | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.4 % | 60 |
| 122 |  Nitin Kumar | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 58 |
| 123 | Jeffrey de Zwaan | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 69 |
| 124 | Ricky Evans | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.8 % | 2.5 % | 73 |
| 125 | Ryan Meikle | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 0.9 % | 71 |
| 126 | Wesley Plaisier | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 71 |
| 127 | Nick Kenny | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | 70 |
| 128 | Martin Lukeman | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 1.5 % | 72 |
| 129 |  Thibault Tricole | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.5 % | 70 |
| 130 | Dominik Grüllich | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.5 % | 70 |
| 131 |  Boris Krčmar | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.5 % | 67 |
| 132 | Rhys Griffin | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 70 |
| 133 | Stephen Rosney | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 134 |  Stefan Bellmont | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 70 |
| 135 | Mervyn King | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 69 |
| 136 | Arno Merk | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 70 |
| 137 | Tavis Dudeney | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.2 % | 69 |
| 138 | Dennie Olde Kalter | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.2 % | 68 |
| 139 | Jeffrey Sparidaans | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 68 |
| 140 | Rusty-Jake Rodriguez | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 68 |
| 141 | Stefaan Henderyck | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 142 | Carl Sneyd | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 143 | Shane McGuirk | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 144 | Marvin Kraft | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 145 | Thomas Lovely | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 146 | Tytus Kanik | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 147 | Adam Warner | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 148 | Adam Leek | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 149 | Chris Landman | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.3 % | 70 |
| 150 | Adam Lipscombe | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.4 % | 70 |
| 151 | Stephen Burton | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 0.2 % | 69 |
| 152 | Yorick Hofkens | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 68 |
| 153 |  Benjamin Pratnemer | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.4 % | 66 |
| 154 | Miloslav Navrátil | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 63 |
| 155 | Matthias Ehlers | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 156 | Marvin van Velzen | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 68 |
| 157 | Pascal Rupprecht | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 158 | Leon Weber | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 159 | Oskar Lukasiak | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 68 |
| 160 | Samuel Price | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 67 |
| 161 | Viktor Tingström | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 162 | Maximilian Czerwinski | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 163 | David Sharp | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 164 | Jan Hlaváček | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 60 |
| 165 | Pero Ljubić | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 65 |
| 166 | Tyler Thorpe | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 67 |
| 167 | Greg Ritchie | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 168 |  John Michael | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 63 |
| 169 | Tomáš Harmáček | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 60 |
| 170 | Romeo Grbavac | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 63 |
| 171 | Sietse Lap | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.2 % | 68 |
| 172 | Tomislav Rosandić | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 173 | Adam Paxton | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 174 | Kai Gotthardt | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 175 | Niall Culleton | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 176 | Filip Bereza | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 67 |
| 177 | Jiří Brejcha | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 178 | Michal Šmejda | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 179 | Andy Boulton | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 68 |
| 180 | Dominik Moravčík | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0.1 % | 60 |
| 181 | Ondřej Plšek | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 182 | Pavel Jirkal | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 183 | Alexander Mašek | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 184 |  Juraj Holub | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 185 | Jiří Smutný | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 186 | David Písek | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 187 | Petr Křivka | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
| 188 | Adrian Dudek | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 60 |
How it works: every player has a strength rating based on his 2026 results and averages. For each match a form-on-the-day value is drawn and then every single leg is simulated – with throw advantage, sets played as best of 5 legs and the two-clear-legs rule in a deciding set. Until the official draw is made, every run uses a fresh draw following PDC rules; open qualifying spots are filled weighted by strength.
The percentages are model calculations for entertainment – not betting odds and not betting advice. Upsets are part of the Worlds, which is exactly what makes it so exciting.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite to win the 2027 World Darts Championship?
According to our 10,000 simulations, Luke Littler is the clear favourite with a 41.3% title chance, ahead of Luke Humphries (15.8%) and Gerwyn Price (9%).
How are the title chances calculated?
We play the whole tournament thousands of times: draw according to PDC rules, form on the day for each match and every leg simulated individually. Strength ratings are based on 2026 results and averages.
Are these betting odds?
No. The percentages are an independent model calculation for entertainment and expressly not betting advice.